The Toronto Raptors visit the Detroit Pistons for a Saturday matinee.
The pregame narrative: Toronto narrowly escaped with a 119-118 win over Detroit at home earlier this month, and we’re betting on the Pistons to make things interesting once again. Neither of these offences are prolific, leading us to target a pair of unders.
Check out our Raptors vs. Pistons picks for February 25.
NBA odds as of 9:11 a.m. on 2/25/223.
Raptors vs. Pistons picks
Best Bet : Pistons +7 (-112)
Toronto’s stark home-road splits and the team’s track record against Detroit make taking the points the right move in this game.
The Raptors are a respectable 19-13 at home this year, sporting an 18-14 record against the spread. On the road, however, is where the squad encounters some serious challenges. They’re 1-18 away from Scotiabank Arena with a concerning 12-16 versus the number.
The Pistons, meanwhile, have covered the spread in three of their last four games per Statmuse, including beating the number by 1 points in their most recent meeting against Toronto.
Typically historical trends aren’t worth following, but bettors should be aware of how well Detroit has played Toronto. The Pistons are 6-2 straight up against the Raptors over their last eight, with ex-Raps bench boss Dwayne Casey having plenty of success over his old team.
Key stat: The Pistons have covered this number in eight consecutive games against the Raptors.
Quick picks
Under 227 points (+1) : These two teams combined for 237 points in their most recent matchup, but we’re expecting fewer points the second time around. Toronto will be without guard Fred VanVleet as he remains out due to personal reasons. The under on this total has come through in each of the squad’s last eight games without him out of the lineup.
The under on this total has also hit in each of Detroit’s last two outings and three of the last four head-to-head meetings with the Raptors.
Raptors under 117.5 (-112) : In addition to the under on this game total cashing with VanVleet out, so have team total unders. Toronto has fallen short of this line in each of the team’s last eight without the former all-star.
The Pistons have actually been playing some respectable defence at home in recent outings, also. They’ve limited four of their last five opponents at Little Caesars Arena – including the Boston Celtics and Phoenix Suns – to 117 points or fewer.
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