Flyers vs. Maple Leafs picks and odds: No value on Toronto with Matthews out

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The Toronto Maple Leafs earned four points with a pair of victories over the weekend and will look to keep that momentum rolling into a home game against the struggling Philadelphia Flyers.

The pregame narrative: Toronto stayed hot by knocking off the Ottawa Senators and New York Islanders. The latter came without superstar Auston Matthews, who remains out Tuesday with an undisclosed injury. Even without Matthews, Toronto is a massive -455 favourite.

Here are our Flyers vs. Maple Leafs picks for the April 19 matchup that feels one-sided on paper.

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Flyers vs. Maple Leafs picks overview

  • Flyers +2.5 goals (-115)
  • Both teams to score a goal – 2nd period (+105)
  • Flyers vs. Maple Leafs over 6.5 goals (-143)

Flyers vs. Maple Leafs picks

It’s no secret that Philadelphia has been struggling. The Flyers have dropped five consecutive games and six of their last eight, but they’ve actually done fairly well against this number during this stretch.

The Flyers have covered a 2.5-goal spread in six of their last eight contests and even managed an upset road win against the New York Rangers over this span.

Read more: Key NHL betting strategies

And for as well as Toronto has been playing, beating squads by three or more goals has been a rarity. The Maple Leafs have only covered this number once over their last seven games.

The Buds will also be missing Matthews in this contest. Toronto does own an impressive 5-1-0 record when their top player has been out of the lineup, but they’ve covered this number just once when he hasn’t suited up.

It may be ugly, but I’m taking the goals in this one.

Key stat: The Flyers have covered this number in three of their last four road games.

Read more: How to bet on the Maple Leafs

Quick picks

Both teams to score a goal – 2nd period (+105): The second period has been the highest-scoring frame for both the Flyers (67 goals) and the Maple Leafs (101 goals). A goal has been scored in the second period by both Toronto and its opponent in five consecutive games and in nine of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 outings.

Flyers vs. Maple Leafs over 6.5 goals (-143): I feel much better getting the game total at 6.5 goals than I do at seven. That’s because Toronto has cleared this total in eight of its last 10 games while topping seven goals in six of those contests. The Flyers, on the other hand, have gone over 6.5 goals in six of their last 10 games but have passed seven goals in just four of their last 10 outings.

Odds courtesy of Sportingbet as of 10:02 a.m. ET on 04/19/2022.

SP

Steven Psihogios writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, the Star’s parent company. Follow him on Twitter: @StevenPsihogios

Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.





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